TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfee2…6580

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
264
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT21028.6%60 W · 150 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.94
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$14.97
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.69
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$6.21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$6.56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.95
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29%+$3.16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$7.16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$58.69
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$13.31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.46
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.81
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+316.7%+$228
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$153
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,469.91
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32.33
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the government shutdown end November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will the government shutdown end November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.23
Will the government shutdown end November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+203%+$60.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-44.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 60°F or higher on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$34.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.