TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$857,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$938,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 818 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Pacers45c48,883$21,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,830.2836148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers44c30,770$13,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,531.152,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Hawks55c30,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,499.9651350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Pacers45c26,658$11,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,996.188843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pacers45c25,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,25017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Hawks54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,20034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pacers45c19,340$8,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,697.0369852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Hawks77c17,349$13,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.2119388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers44c17,114$7,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,580.121,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed Hawks56c15,054$8,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,623.589650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pacers45c14,535$6,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.4247144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9af…6371backed Pacers46c12,111$5,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5714035%14 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Hawks57c12,000$6,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.0117044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks56c11,802$6,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,162.141,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x154c…ce5ebacked Pacers45c11,198$5,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0391833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers15c10,123$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Hawks55c10,000$5,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,502.026253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Hawks55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.984050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Pacers3c9,999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.973748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Hawks55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.914766%31 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Hawks55c9,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0509838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Hawks11c8,680$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,725.24037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+241.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pacers46c8,346$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,820.112,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Hawks55c7,777$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.637748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Pacers47c7,630$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,563.1485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Pacers47c7,519$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.0114856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Hawks55c7,000$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Hawks56c6,851$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.632142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hawks58c6,354$3,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6771,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hawks55c5,849$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.6944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers2c5,261$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.088783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hawks56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9918142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Pacers45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.985556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pacers37c4,694$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Pacers16c4,676$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.9925925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a3…8a3dbacked Pacers46c4,356$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.691838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks55c4,142$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked Pacers45c3,636$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hawks55c3,607$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.7648944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Hawks56c3,568$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.1971052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Hawks40c3,544$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.642744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Pacers40c3,515$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40615656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9794…1d5fbacked Hawks57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.771553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks78c3,501$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.3581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pacers43c3,204$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.392,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Pacers45c3,007$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3536953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8abd…a8c8backed Hawks57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ca…0f37backed Pacers44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Pacers45c2,973$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.6747448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Hawks55c2,891$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.1643051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Pacers45c2,610$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.6912160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers1c2,600$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f5…bb7abacked Hawks56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7491…41e9backed Pacers44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f0…a328backed Pacers44c2,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b78…65e2backed Hawks56c2,400$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks50c2,346$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.561,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Pacers43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2606…61b9backed Pacers44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0121050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…9177backed Hawks56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0121040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x531c…eb0dbacked Pacers11c2,245$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.267843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hawks59c2,230$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.4426038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers1c2,110$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Hawks62c2,104$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.416665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers43c2,100$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90361835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Hawks55c2,073$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.37739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pacers24c2,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Hawks56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Hawks57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8604951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5787…7660backed Hawks56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafab…d1a1backed Pacers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers1c1,915$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.964573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Pacers45c1,879$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.1318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c1,817$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.677502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd19…ed2fbacked Pacers44c1,768$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…e74bbacked Hawks57c1,765$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x429b…0688backed Hawks57c1,701$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.343450%17 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks72c1,686$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.441,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Hawks56c1,620$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.7454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks63c1,606$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.952,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks55c1,592$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.312,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3313…881ebacked Hawks55c1,558$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.181060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Hawks56c1,445$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.6425554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Hawks57c1,391$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.049652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bff…6f0cbacked Hawks56c1,368$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.912540%10 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hawks56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb257…0ef6backed Pacers2c1,281$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks53c1,247$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Hawks55c1,218$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.184656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pacers5c1,200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5765218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x773e…c925backed Pacers44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66b…98e8backed Hawks57c1,136$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Pacers45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005653.6%30 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d20…a976backed Pacers45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014248.6%69 W · 73 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Pacers43c1,105$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47513063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Hawks55c1,089$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.116746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Pacers46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.