NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c44acda12a42351afef750e1e45c67840961886bd25848743f6cdfc23d547c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc933…5366backed Over | 51c | 8,478$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,215$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 51c | 3,500$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.96 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 2,421$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.66 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 50c | 539.2$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.21 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 49c | 371.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Under | 52c | 296.94$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 295.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 201$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…7037backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…2da1backed Over | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1d…2bd7backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…1468backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe890…5d71backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…b0dcbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…c4a1backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…71d3backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5this page
- Hawks vs. PacersHawks won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.