TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc23b…24f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 53 out of 100; worst Earnings at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST4951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,052Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,548
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,960
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,980
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$960
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$902.99
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$220
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$704
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,537Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,363
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,540
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$1,925
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$690
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,632
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,099.98
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$860
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.67
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$260
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$590
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$630
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$330
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$910
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$490
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Senators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Red Wings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$509.99
Lightning vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$420
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$510
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$420
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$360
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.5
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$780
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$600
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$720
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$795
Hurricanes vs. Avalanchebacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$750.01
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$690
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$720
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$615
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$393.56
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erste Bank Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$280
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$280
Guangzhou Open: Katie Volynets vs Shuai Zhangbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$435
Guangzhou Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ann Libacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchovabacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+150%+$899.8
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidelbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$680
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Caty McNallybacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$409.71
Pan Pacific Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.21
Guangzhou Open: Ella Seidel vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$343.2
Guangzhou Open: Xiyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Guangzhou Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Libacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Yafan Wangbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$510
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$629.95
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallobacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$420
Erste Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$600
Pan Pacific Open: Victoria Mboko vs Eva Lysbacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$780
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Virginia Techbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Missouri State vs. New Mexico Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$490
Kennesaw State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$410
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,550
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+203%+$20.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$690
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$770
Will US Cremonese vs. Udinese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$897
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,854.99
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$629.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$620
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.