Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Ella Seidel vs Yulia Putintseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e8a944746eea1171773b8ecfd30f8b645c1faadf7149fa00ee26cbb085e9c16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seidelof Seidel, Putintseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Putintseva | 34c | 2,539$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.58 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Putintseva | 58c | 2,347$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.72 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Putintseva | 30c | 2,270$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seidel | 69c | 1,486$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seidel | 69c | 1,141$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.61 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Seidel | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Seidel | 40c | 572$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Seidel | 73c | 566$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Seidel | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…3539backed Seidel | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…3dc8backed Putintseva | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Putintseva | 59c | 401.59$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.94 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Putintseva | 20c | 349.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seidel | 41c | 271.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Putintseva | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Seidel | 61c | 259.32$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seidel | 72c | 256.22$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Seidel | 42c | 235$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Putintseva | 59c | 213.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Putintseva | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Putintseva | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Seidel | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Seidel | 70c | 188.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Putintseva | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Seidel | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…cf25backed Seidel | 42c | 104$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…8657backed Putintseva | 59c | 104$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…7540backed Putintseva | 59c | 103$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…c67abacked Seidel | 42c | 103$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Seidel | 42c | 102.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Putintseva | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Putintseva | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Putintseva | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf81…cf50backed Putintseva | 36c | 54.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Putintseva | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…02b4backed Seidel | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Seidel | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598f…44c4backed Putintseva | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47c…0719backed Seidel | 39c | 40.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…8328backed Putintseva | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Seidel | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…2b59backed Putintseva | 48c | 29.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…16e9backed Seidel | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…e881backed Seidel | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Seidel | 46c | 22.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.