Tennis · resolved market
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7ae049d38a56b1c99fb79fd4f1b28d451e8e409ded45154a37658a90df6b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Minaur, Berrettini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Berrettini | 1c | 6,196$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Berrettini | 26c | 3,850$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.97 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Berrettini | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd34…140dbacked Berrettini | 18c | 2,196$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Minaur | 75c | 2,000$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.34 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Minaur | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Minaur | 74c | 1,700$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.66 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Berrettini | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Berrettini | 28c | 1,454$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Berrettini | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.88 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Berrettini | 25c | 1,118$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…abe7backed Berrettini | 20c | 1,010$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Berrettini | 10c | 999.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Minaur | 74c | 800.09$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.02 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Berrettini | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Minaur | 75c | 636$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Minaur | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Berrettini | 21c | 552.26$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Berrettini | 28c | 529.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Minaur | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Minaur | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Berrettini | 20c | 497.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Berrettini | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Berrettini | 27c | 373.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Berrettini | 16c | 342.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Berrettini | 26c | 334.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Berrettini | 29c | 328.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Minaur | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Berrettini | 7c | 285.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Berrettini | 17c | 279.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Minaur | 75c | 276.05$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Minaur | 74c | 276$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Berrettini | 25c | 275.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Minaur | 75c | 274.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minaur | 71c | 274.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Minaur | 74c | 236.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Minaur | 75c | 219.32$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Minaur | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Berrettini | 20c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Berrettini | 24c | 195$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Minaur | 73c | 183.66$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…fcf1backed Minaur | 74c | 170$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Berrettini | 26c | 165.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Berrettini | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…58a6backed Berrettini | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Minaur | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…0da7backed Minaur | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Minaur | 75c | 132.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Minaur | 74c | 131.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Berrettini | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Minaur | 73c | 117.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Minaur | 74c | 107.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Berrettini | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Berrettini | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Berrettini | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Berrettini | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Minaur | 71c | 91.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Minaur | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Berrettini | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Berrettini | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked Minaur | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…81d6backed Minaur | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…a423backed Minaur | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Berrettini | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Minaur | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Minaur | 78c | 51.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Berrettini | 25c | 49.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Minaur | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Minaur | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Minaur | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0c…d370backed Berrettini | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Minaur | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Minaur | 80c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Minaur | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…3667backed Minaur | 74c | 28.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…29acbacked Minaur | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Minaur | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Minaur | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…63e9backed Minaur | 74c | 23.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Minaur | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Minaur | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3e…0b56backed Minaur | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9f34backed Minaur | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…375cbacked Minaur | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…9054backed Minaur | 74c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…5baabacked Minaur | 74c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…9809backed Minaur | 74c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked Minaur | 74c | 13.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…baecbacked Minaur | 74c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.