TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c2f…66b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT7724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$6.77
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$4.14
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+154.2%+$74.87
Will Elon tweet 310–324 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.82
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+64.5%+$54.85
Will Elon tweet 450–474 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+111.5%+$118.57
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+2,538.9%+$380.83
Will Elon tweet 410–424 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 365–379 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 275–289 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$77.02
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST6470.3%45 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+41.9%+$8.37
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+32.6%+$17.28
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+25.7%+$4.38
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29.7%+$5.06
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.2%+$5.24
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.2%+$4.37
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+116.4%+$17.46
Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$13.84
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+71.8%+$17.96
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29%+$5.8
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$22.35
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$8.44
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesanabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Jiri Leheckabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+90.8%+$13.62
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.94
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+45.7%+$6.85
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$10.43
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$9.34
Erste Bank Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$10.75
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+119.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+45%+$6.75
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+89.3%+$11.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$8.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$5.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.