TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherot

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vacherotof Norrie, Vacherot
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$587,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$658,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Norrie48c242,225$116,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,247.827857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Vacherot52c124,803$64,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,905.3310845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Vacherot52c91,787$47,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,057.9614345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Vacherot55c27,072$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,072.111428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Vacherot52c17,876$9,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,651.4922037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Norrie39c11,812$4,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6132147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vacherot57c11,298$6,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.062,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Vacherot54c11,122$5,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,123.41,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vacherot67c10,066$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.672,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Norrie40c10,000$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.5866649.5%330 W · 336 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Norrie46c9,887$4,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,571.9718237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Norrie36c9,190$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.624741.7%103 W · 144 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Vacherot59c8,001$4,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Norrie45c7,392$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360.755630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Norrie49c7,145$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Vacherot48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.966549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Norrie37c5,985$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.133818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb23…6c30backed Norrie38c5,178$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.044740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Vacherot58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d7…126cbacked Norrie65c4,547$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.2862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Vacherot53c4,494$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.177342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Norrie24c4,293$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.438,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Vacherot55c3,933$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.9812050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Norrie34c3,758$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.191233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Norrie35c3,703$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.167152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d1…8390backed Vacherot55c3,647$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Vacherot53c3,600$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6927147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Vacherot40c3,540$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.871643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Vacherot57c3,060$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.116644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Norrie31c2,500$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.9957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176a…5488backed Norrie47c2,376$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbcb…0d14backed Vacherot53c2,376$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Norrie44c2,362$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.2320653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Vacherot57c2,240$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.0813959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Norrie45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c59…c481backed Vacherot53c2,179$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…0065backed Norrie47c2,179$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Norrie42c2,055$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.948530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Norrie30c2,013$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6043066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Vacherot55c2,007$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90817750.8%90 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Norrie48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7346…f416backed Vacherot54c1,902$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x457c…fa41backed Norrie46c1,898$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Vacherot53c1,897$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.796050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked Vacherot53c1,893$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.782420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee08…a032backed Vacherot55c1,800$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd6…b4ffbacked Norrie47c1,800$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Vacherot54c1,793$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.9265242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Norrie26c1,730$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…9e9fbacked Vacherot46c1,648$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e0a…aff0backed Vacherot54c1,646$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53a…7200backed Norrie46c1,646$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Norrie25c1,600$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.472520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Vacherot54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1615…17bebacked Norrie47c1,356$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc773…0205backed Vacherot53c1,356$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Norrie44c1,304$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.211,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Norrie51c1,172$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Norrie45c1,145$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.7236440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Norrie47c1,080$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vacherot62c1,056$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3210252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Norrie48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.019452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Norrie48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55c6…dd29backed Norrie46c1,032$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c8…ccccbacked Vacherot54c1,032$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Norrie33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33028833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Vacherot55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Vacherot78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2207276.4%55 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf5…972fbacked Norrie45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0c…122dbacked Vacherot52c999.97$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Norrie49c945.2$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Vacherot55c906.87$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0938348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Vacherot55c900$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Vacherot57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb37d…b5b3backed Vacherot71c846$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Norrie54c799.96$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.9613253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd90f…7b32backed Vacherot54c745.03$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.93050%15 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Vacherot54c710$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.637233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Norrie44c678.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Norrie52c666.94$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.819961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Vacherot55c661.82$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8222744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4557…4212backed Norrie46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Norrie46c652$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9247639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Vacherot53c649.4$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2278052.7%411 W · 369 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Vacherot54c647.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.085050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x242d…603abacked Norrie45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Vacherot55c555$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7519131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Norrie46c544$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.245632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Vacherot56c542.63$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.881,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Norrie46c540$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.411843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Vacherot62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902263.6%14 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+56.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Vacherot56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22015447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Vacherot55c476.36$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.368243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Norrie44c440$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.49257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee38…7920backed Vacherot52c435$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.11546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Vacherot60c429.47$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7675547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Norrie48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Norrie45c410$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.513935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2a…c632backed Vacherot49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Vacherot53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18831850.3%160 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.