TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89d7…126c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,115.58
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+31.2%+$358.43
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$384.35
Counter-Strike: 500 vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)backed Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,604Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,209.35
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,517
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$806
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$464
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$824
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+71.9%+$574.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.7%+$866.87
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+30.3%+$121.39
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs AMKAL ESPORTS (BO3)backed AMKAL ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.9%+$124.69
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vasco Esports (BO3)backed Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+45.2%+$510.38
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Prison Breakers (BO3)backed Prison Breakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,800
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+76.9%+$576.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+28.7%+$114.84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$150
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,766.91
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,312Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+55.9%+$3,530.79
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs SAW (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,100
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Nexus (BO3)backed Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,800
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,992Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$685.86
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$303.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs SAW (BO3)backed SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,872Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+220%+$4,118.01
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,560
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$333.33
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51%+$1,124.95
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,317.79
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,371Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.1%+$3,127.15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,741.52
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$447.52
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,295Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+74%+$2,437.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$2,014.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.4%+$493.61
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Chennai Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+45%+$450.06
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,273
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,038Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$866.86
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$215.38
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$377.07
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,935.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+53.9%+$161.62
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+66.7%+$1,536.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.2%+$497.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,290.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.