Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Janice Tjen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63faab3749d13a9cc6da814f1112776a3ebf217ec37de6320f87dd8b16403b7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tjenof Tararudee, Tjen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tararudee | 27c | 6,798$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tararudee | 19c | 3,916$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.74 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tjen | 70c | 2,869$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.51 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tararudee | 40c | 2,763$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Tjen | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.05 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Tararudee | 30c | 1,526$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.25 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked Tjen | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Tjen | 65c | 999.99$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Tjen | 69c | 925$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.59 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tararudee | 32c | 856$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.42 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Tjen | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tjen | 63c | 612.09$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.05 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Tararudee | 26c | 588.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Tjen | 72c | 547$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Tararudee | 36c | 500$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Tararudee | 31c | 480$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Tjen | 73c | 395.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Tjen | 71c | 352.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Tararudee | 38c | 352.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Tararudee | 4c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tararudee | 29c | 303.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Tararudee | 33c | 247.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Tjen | 69c | 213.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…84d8backed Tararudee | 14c | 210$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Tararudee | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tararudee | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Tjen | 72c | 172.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Tararudee | 43c | 155$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tjen | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Tjen | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Tjen | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Tjen | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…08bbbacked Tjen | 68c | 130$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Tjen | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…00b4backed Tjen | 77c | 118.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Tararudee | 36c | 107.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Tararudee | 31c | 107.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tararudee | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Tjen | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Tararudee | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Tararudee | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tararudee | 35c | 85.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tjen | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…66b9backed Tararudee | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Tararudee | 24c | 53.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Tjen | 65c | 53.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…48c4backed Tjen | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tjen | 69c | 42.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…e75cbacked Tararudee | 37c | 37.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Tjen | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Tjen | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.