TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62cc…9d0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST6338.1%24 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,146.87
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+809.1%+$578.5
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$244
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$108.97
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$71.11
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$106.67
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$124
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$165
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+196.7%+$195
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$860
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$212.99
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$681.92
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$312
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.04
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.42
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.37
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.75
Will a team from LCP (Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.04
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+125.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.17
Will Desire Doue score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+3,746.2%+$438.3
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$38.8
Will the match between Arsenal and Monaco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$48
Will Monaco beat Arsenal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$50.23
Will the match between LOSC Lille and Sturm Graz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$42.7
Will PSV beat Stade Brestois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+33.9%+$50.05
Will Stade Brestois beat PSV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+117.4%+$54
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$60.01
Will the match between Girona and Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$856.86
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$159
Heat vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Heat vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.86
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+159.7%+$369
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$391.6
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+101.8%+$166.5
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$96
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$207
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$27.2
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+340.5%+$231.9
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Will the next Pope be from Asia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$67.29
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$40.49
Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+44.9%+$48.51
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.99
Another New Popular Front member next Prime Minister of France? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$46
Valérie Rabault next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Someone else next Prime Minister of France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-82.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will None in 2025 occur?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.26
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.91
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$69.65
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$101.5
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$471.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another movie gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$29.36
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $48-54m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $60-66m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.83
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $54-60m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.32
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.91
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $66m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.48
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+116%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+119.5%+$125.2
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$34.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Elon tweet 130-139 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.9
Aleo airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$117.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PGL Astana: Astralis vs. Spiritbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.