Lol · resolved market

Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24780e4608d1794c5604e9a6d4ef845a7f821da37038454c04f990f7e2c2331f

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $530,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $376,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,993 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x581d…2b06backed Yes	1c	53,998$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.4	480	35.4%170 W · 310 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa90f…4267backed Yes	2c	44,007$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes	1c	22,500$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.5	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	20,925$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.2	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed Yes	3c	18,076$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-6.8wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Yes	1c	16,761$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.64	168	28.6%48 W · 120 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x031b…babcbacked Yes	2c	14,079$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.95	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	2c	13,641$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.39	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	13,348$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.7	898	10.7%96 W · 802 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes	1c	11,659$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.21	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadf9…cdc6backed Yes	2c	11,098$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.39	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	18cpaid	-89.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3a…610abacked Yes	1c	9,449$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.09	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5d…91d8backed Yes	1c	9,076$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.39	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba98…9adcbacked Yes	1c	8,814$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.22	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb217…5617backed Yes	3c	8,665$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes	2c	8,031$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.37	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf8…5d1dbacked Yes	3c	7,904$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes	1c	6,517$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	106	16%17 W · 89 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+20%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a8…f341backed Yes	2c	5,573$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.31	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6288…5b5abacked Yes	2c	5,163$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.2	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+4.8wins	+0.23per pick	54cpaid	+115%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked Yes	1c	5,157$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.44	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6127…27debacked Yes	1c	5,116$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.69	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e46…16a5backed Yes	2c	5,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes	2c	4,880$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.82	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x990b…c30ebacked Yes	2c	4,834$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Yes	1c	4,444$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.44	1,447	13.3%192 W · 1,255 L	-109.5wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	1c	4,182$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.46	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc55e…263cbacked Yes	2c	4,141$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…b99cbacked Yes	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b6…b789backed Yes	1c	3,425$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-43%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c6…a3abbacked Yes	1c	3,137$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.42	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Yes	1c	2,906$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.19	417	43.9%183 W · 234 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	2c	2,855$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.33	131	37.4%49 W · 82 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…d3eabacked Yes	1c	2,791$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.23	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e89…bb29backed Yes	2c	2,734$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.59	140	54.3%76 W · 64 L	+11.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes	1c	2,728$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes	2c	2,688$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes	2c	2,465$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…7420backed Yes	2c	2,355$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.1	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	7cpaid	+177.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked Yes	3c	2,354$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…acedbacked Yes	3c	2,310$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed Yes	1c	2,298$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	151	35.1%53 W · 98 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6544…fb05backed Yes	3c	2,291$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.38per pick	12cpaid	+224.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed0…6250backed Yes	2c	2,119$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.31	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Yes	2c	2,096$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.91	348	37.4%130 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ba…c073backed Yes	1c	2,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b25…bb5abacked Yes	3c	1,927$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa424…752abacked Yes	3c	1,918$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	13cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb844…a08ebacked Yes	2c	1,897$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.08	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes	1c	1,784$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	435	39.5%172 W · 263 L	-24.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	1c	1,681$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e0…c29bbacked Yes	2c	1,666$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d33…bdc2backed Yes	2c	1,542$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9078…fb78backed Yes	2c	1,527$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.46	50	40%20 W · 30 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62b8…a32abacked Yes	2c	1,506$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9d…e979backed Yes	2c	1,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.55	80	16.3%13 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d9…d495backed Yes	2c	1,478$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Yes	1c	1,378$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc0…eac0backed Yes	2c	1,376$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	2c	1,317$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d83…15ebbacked Yes	2c	1,296$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.04	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5f…9a7dbacked Yes	2c	1,286$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Yes	1c	1,269$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.77	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c0…d8bebacked Yes	3c	1,127$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.43	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-47%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d63…4422backed Yes	1c	1,088$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c4…812fbacked Yes	2c	1,063$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	15cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes	1c	994.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe26d…3611backed Yes	2c	956.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa0…b070backed Yes	1c	954.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+88.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0f…df88backed Yes	2c	897.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Yes	1c	846.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732d…95e1backed Yes	2c	844.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes	2c	714.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	1,029	52.3%538 W · 491 L	+27.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes	2c	662.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+7.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f90…fb00backed Yes	3c	617.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bab…d8edbacked Yes	2c	520.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…1c61backed Yes	2c	427.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yes	3c	334.3$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?this page
Will 100 Thieves win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will Invictus Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will Movistar KOI win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will PSG Talon win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes won
Will Team Secret Whales win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Will Vivo Keyd Stars win LoL Worlds 2025?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event