Lol · resolved market
Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21574e917bb08ba5c808168267737e01fdb61edb38e14ccd94e33f487c8e1204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 1c | 32,316$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.43 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9ee9backed Yes | 0c | 22,148$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 1c | 21,975$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.27 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…610abacked Yes | 1c | 16,817$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…d851backed Yes | 1c | 11,229$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,761$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Yes | 1c | 7,003$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes | 1c | 6,672$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,525$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 1c | 6,002$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 1c | 5,189$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…006ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,164$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,070$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…2caebacked Yes | 0c | 5,012$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 4,173$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 1c | 4,071$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 106 | 16%17 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes | 1c | 4,061$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Yes | 1c | 3,625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 1c | 3,624$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,098$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 1c | 2,896$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…812fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,754$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,542$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 2,383$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,171$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…47ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,760$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…ad95backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,084$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…d3eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,073$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Yes | 2c | 961.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 2c | 912.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2025?this page
- Will 100 Thieves win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will Invictus Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will Movistar KOI win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will PSG Talon win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes won
- Will Team Secret Whales win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
- Will Vivo Keyd Stars win LoL Worlds 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.