TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will 100 Thieves win LoL Worlds 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,482 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf92c…60e7backed Yes0c31,105$38 inLost-$38.0716828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed Yes0c26,339$53 inLost-$52.6448035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c20,577$22 inLost-$22.49140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa19…4f3cbacked Yes1c19,979$100 inLost-$99.894223.8%10 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes0c19,211$19 inLost-$19.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Yes0c17,024$20 inLost-$20.361,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes0c7,000$16 inLost-$16.196338.1%24 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Yes0c5,053$10 inLost-$10.0413911.5%16 W · 123 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3be…0e17backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,422$15 inLost-$14.5389810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6993…c79abacked Yes0c2,313$11 inLost-$10.6130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes1c2,085$12 inLost-$11.7213137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Yes1c1,576$12 inLost-$11.710924.8%27 W · 82 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.