TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$501,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5827…e59ebacked Yes3c39,525$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.492128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes3c28,334$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.2110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2172…e533backed Yes6c14,928$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes3c12,989$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.941822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x031b…babcbacked Yes3c11,782$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.447536%27 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-23.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes1c11,384$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.071,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes2c10,925$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8912022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x801e…778ebacked Yes2c10,731$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.16425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+83.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c10,632$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2389810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes5c10,601$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.851,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Yes2c10,392$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+102.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82f9…3950backed Yes4c10,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes1c9,255$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.847444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f8…08e8backed Yes2c8,959$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d618backed Yes3c8,748$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.412133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed Yes1c8,156$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6415135.1%53 W · 98 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf103…7f51backed Yes4c7,220$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…b99cbacked Yes2c6,834$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.342924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Yes5c6,108$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010039%39 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4006…9f86backed Yes3c6,079$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.818356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes2c5,164$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.68137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c3…3046backed Yes4c5,130$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.022321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4fd…ff1dbacked Yes0c4,800$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Yes3c3,814$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6416828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b3…1ddfbacked Yes2c3,807$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.381346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ffc…1d8ebacked Yes5c3,794$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1150%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa287…271fbacked Yes4c3,765$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508940.4%36 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0b…2413backed Yes3c3,755$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…c647backed Yes1c3,637$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+313.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf599…31a9backed Yes2c3,450$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Yes1c3,360$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.572524%6 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes1c3,328$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6436433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadf9…cdc6backed Yes4c3,113$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116234.3%1 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-89.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Yes4c3,030$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8113911.5%16 W · 123 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb14c…061ebacked Yes3c2,880$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d4…a140backed Yes3c2,878$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.531020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes1c2,771$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9313137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a13…b322backed Yes2c2,573$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.91520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-62.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf05b…04f1backed Yes2c2,504$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.47520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa424…752abacked Yes2c2,450$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe29…b4b9backed Yes3c2,279$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6561…20e4backed Yes5c2,200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+88.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb844…a08ebacked Yes4c2,184$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8160%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes5c2,178$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Yes3c2,116$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d05…39dbbacked Yes4c2,041$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.231723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2416…c59abacked Yes9c2,006$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+132.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Yes1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9df…d8bcbacked Yes5c1,950$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b4…4161backed Yes3c1,934$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5395…c6fdbacked Yes3c1,896$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68e…d7c1backed Yes3c1,852$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes2c1,531$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910616%17 W · 89 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ad…d823backed Yes3c1,393$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408555.3%47 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+50.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes7c1,370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9af6…2d43backed Yes35c1,158$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc484…4cd5backed Yes1c1,091$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+122.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa43…5acebacked Yes4c1,062$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf978…cf69backed Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1197…40bfbacked Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2343…6f72backed Yes7c999.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafae…8c3cbacked Yes6c973.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fc0…eac0backed Yes3c961.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Yes5c928.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes2c905$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+79.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1a…9626backed Yes4c859.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe495…5be9backed Yes4c842.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb64f…03dbbacked Yes4c777.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee6d…70b0backed Yes4c765.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…4fe5backed Yes6c721.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88af…6978backed Yes3c711.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e3…de9bbacked Yes2c694.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+297.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes3c650$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1512147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes10c620.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.181,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Yes3c619.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.444540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e2…4d16backed Yes2c598$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x779b…db29backed Yes4c571.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.552638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633b…b557backed Yes3c564.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2df…bdc6backed Yes11c548.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick12cpaid+187.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1264…25f1backed Yes3c544.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5f…9a7dbacked Yes4c526.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0f…a394backed Yes4c507.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.471118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…1979backed Yes6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9b…96bbbacked Yes5c499.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25130%0 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d83…15ebbacked Yes4c498.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.432152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a31cbacked Yes6c496.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4620739.6%82 W · 125 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…acedbacked Yes3c485.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes3c479.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.754854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Yes3c479$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.03119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes4c478.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204156.1%23 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9e0…5a66backed Yes2c468.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95e1…e682backed Yes4c459.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Yes3c440.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0434837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843a…afbebacked Yes2c421.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…6c13backed Yes3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab7e…8790backed Yes3c396$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e0…c29bbacked Yes3c380$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-85.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71fc…86b7backed Yes4c356.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ad…1538backed Yes3c343.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434f…7d13backed Yes5c305.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+125.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.