TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x775d…1979

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-58.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$27.5
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.04
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.41
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,201.94
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$31.28
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$20.77
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$187
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.99
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+300%+$150
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: FlyQuest vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$43.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$66.6
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fnatic (BO1)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$152.65
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$46.83
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$113
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Anyone's Legendbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$296
All 24 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.