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Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,286,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,236,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,286,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c220,129$15,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,928.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes55c41,184$22,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,765.993,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes4c15,500$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62027034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes15c13,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9710045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes10c12,255$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.1166932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed Yes8c12,167$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.8915746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes49c11,202$5,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.2639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes3c10,830$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bf…7033backed Yes3c10,562$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.61560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+80.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes3c10,166$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.262,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes6c10,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes3c10,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Yes6c9,996$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.941833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes3c9,519$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes3c9,137$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cdc…6a24backed Yes62c9,095$5,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.974431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes3c8,000$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21656410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes7c7,994$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.33807.5%6 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes39c7,989$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.7234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes60c7,181$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,296.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ed…6813backed Yes3c6,990$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes3c6,781$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes57c6,180$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.6928229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes6c5,826$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b16…12fabacked Yes3c5,101$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes3c5,068$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.914219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes3c5,000$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8922813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes3c4,997$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.918714.9%13 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes60c4,241$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.9733843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes14c4,146$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes3c4,002$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.052888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes3c3,881$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2156022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes1c3,700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes3c3,571$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes3c3,450$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes3c3,376$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes6c3,277$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.941,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes3c3,241$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908716.1%14 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…44bebacked Yes3c3,089$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.78714.9%13 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52e…48febacked Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90619.8%6 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b7…af97backed Yes3c2,832$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.497319.2%14 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick20cpaid+48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ff…c05fbacked Yes13c2,800$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35690%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes14c2,758$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.262,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4a…1ae0backed Yes7c2,688$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.054020%8 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes8c2,435$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013122.1%29 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes12c2,413$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.921,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Yes2c2,399$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.386515.4%10 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes20c2,367$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.025328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6e…8f7ebacked Yes3c2,356$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707710.4%8 W · 69 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Yes13c2,350$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.53511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes32c2,145$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9724146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes3c2,103$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.953920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No71c1,942$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.121,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes3c1,937$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.321,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc857…a3d3backed Yes3c1,923$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+211.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes30c1,856$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.982,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes3c1,852$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes3c1,852$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes6c1,797$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4610819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes62c1,759$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.3923637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0500…540bbacked Yes17c1,742$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.584358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8706…f8ccbacked Yes3c1,725$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505516.4%9 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes3c1,719$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9636…d08bbacked Yes6c1,700$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.621553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes6c1,685$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7942backed Yes3c1,617$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes3c1,615$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509612.5%12 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes3c1,611$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0833510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Yes11c1,600$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+107.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef2…c543backed Yes3c1,538$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick16cpaid+101.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes7c1,500$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11131920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes7c1,424$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…f702backed Yes3c1,407$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010722.4%24 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7098…1d97backed Yes74c1,357$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No45c1,330$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.1613552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No79c1,295$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.342,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes16c1,287$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.735136.8%129 W · 222 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9afe…7b07backed Yes3c1,270$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41488.3%4 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes21c1,251$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.7220646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes29c1,248$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7535035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes16c1,239$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0633538.8%130 W · 205 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes27c1,235$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.836139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes5c1,234$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6425418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8933…630dbacked Yes2c1,208$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012622.2%28 W · 98 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes52c1,208$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.4725125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb036…6787backed Yes8c1,171$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+186.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes3c1,170$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes3c1,165$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.156621.2%14 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes48c1,159$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.8318056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x006e…7c46backed Yes9c1,135$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006429.7%19 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes3c1,111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe944…21f6backed Yes3c1,110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.862222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes19c1,107$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed Yes13c1,104$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.453815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Yes13c1,100$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1434327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a4…4256backed Yes4c1,085$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5212444.4%55 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.