TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$595,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$565,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes15c93,333$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c55,754$7,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,032.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes15c50,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes15c50,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.9738817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes15c34,817$5,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,222.587238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c24,774$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.893,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Yes0c24,527$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1417229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes15c16,667$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes14c14,321$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.3327039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes15c11,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc990…6a32backed Yes15c10,335$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.25234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d9…cb89backed Yes15c6,087$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c4…a129backed Yes15c4,833$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.95825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+562.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes16c3,735$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.121,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d96…2a68backed Yes16c2,860$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes15c2,333$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Yes3c2,184$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.67166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes15c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes15c1,931$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.713119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8aa…7934backed Yes18c1,711$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006421.9%14 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd712…4029backed Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb6…8c80backed Yes15c1,550$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.55523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Yes3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45258%2 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+200%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes15c1,438$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd644…b7cdbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+92.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9edc…d2c9backed Yes15c1,306$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.97911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-84.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes15c1,286$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19820816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…317abacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010246.1%47 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Yes15c1,247$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18722441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes4c1,137$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6453920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe588…c5d1backed Yes16c1,090$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3612026.7%32 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7306…0a93backed Yes16c1,056$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.986235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d9…ecf3backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c58…1ac5backed Yes15c975$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484910.2%5 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes4c952$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Yes15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fac…8fd7backed Yes15c772.53$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.886033.3%20 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+46%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes15c763$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes3c742$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8535136.8%129 W · 222 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes3c689.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.689910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes14c685.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.012,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d15…7a94backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc886…4f48backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005313.2%7 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008422.6%19 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Yes15c660$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes15c649.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.498010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…61f0backed Yes15c643.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.575255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes15c643.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.57330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadc2…96ebbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008421.4%18 W · 66 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5844…035abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016533.9%56 W · 109 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…a7e9backed Yes18c590.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.241172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+44.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1286…da74backed Yes15c566.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520427.5%56 W · 148 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No80c517.5$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.52,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes5c499$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9332639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e78…898dbacked Yes15c486.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734621.7%10 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+161.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes19c476.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.226327%17 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b5…ac60backed Yes15c476$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.42222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…7a84backed Yes16c468.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed Yes15c466.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010541.9%44 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes15c450$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.530215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes15c424.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038933.2%129 W · 260 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe4…e737backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-34.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5650833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e7f…eddebacked Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608116%13 W · 68 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58a…6b63backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011715.4%18 W · 99 L-0.5wins0.00per pick16cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…396bbacked Yes14c360$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd7…aa43backed Yes15c354.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.212937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes14c345.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.433,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes15c342.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4417518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes15c338.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7935621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a7…ab94backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…b85dbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504211.9%5 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.