Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57a061f3e3a1270cc79dfaef1867e310292edca0f357b58740a3be294e17eec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,531,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,192,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,531,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 1c | 300,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 195,544$8,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,483.44 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 166,712$8,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,196.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 1c | 83,499$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 35c | 14,606$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.53 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 4c | 13,291$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.83 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…4826backed Yes | 2c | 12,904$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…6a24backed Yes | 23c | 9,768$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.52 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Yes | 1c | 9,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 14.3%13 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 1c | 8,650$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes | 5c | 8,626$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.95 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,565$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…f815backed Yes | 1c | 8,350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…814bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,013$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 34c | 7,356$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.68 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 41c | 4,945$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.5 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 1c | 4,545$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 25c | 4,493$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.28 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…143bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,478$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 26.7%40 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af1…3b5ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,244$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 63c | 4,185$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 17c | 4,101$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.63 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 7c | 4,055$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.17 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 3,981$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.47 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 1c | 3,636$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 79c | 3,545$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.1 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…642abacked Yes | 6c | 3,407$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 1c | 3,120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 7c | 3,019$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes | 4c | 2,791$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,727$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…4029backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,405$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 1c | 2,404$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…5709backed Yes | 6c | 2,345$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…6ea7backed Yes | 1c | 2,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…8841backed Yes | 5c | 1,986$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 5c | 1,951$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…f0b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,948$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…8fe8backed Yes | 4c | 1,938$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…d2c9backed Yes | 5c | 1,938$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…1a87backed Yes | 5c | 1,938$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 60 | 6.7%4 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes | 1c | 1,923$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 12.5%12 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Yes | 7c | 1,916$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 1c | 1,901$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,798$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 6c | 1,759$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…8b81backed Yes | 1c | 1,697$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…22f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,680$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…dd58backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Yes | 6c | 1,647$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,626$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,618$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked No | 62c | 1,609$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.86 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…bfb9backed Yes | 7c | 1,570$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…55adbacked Yes | 3c | 1,567$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…841bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,494$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…1939backed Yes | 5c | 1,457$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…62debacked Yes | 3c | 1,434$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,429$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 10c | 1,389$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 19c | 1,379$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.66 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…565cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…5b58backed Yes | 6c | 1,329$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 6c | 1,309$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…0637backed Yes | 2c | 1,296$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 14c | 1,296$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 77c | 1,266$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.28 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 7c | 1,229$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,223$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…aea9backed Yes | 1c | 1,149$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes | 9c | 1,118$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 8c | 1,090$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,046$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.95 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 21c | 1,038$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 75c | 1,030$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.46 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 18c | 1,024$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…6bb1backed Yes | 1c | 1,006$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed Yes | 9c | 1,004$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…a90abacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…b60cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Yes | 5c | 991.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 4cpaid | +703%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…4bf2backed Yes | 6c | 978.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 3c | 966.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 963.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…099bbacked Yes | 4c | 961.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Yes | 1c | 947.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 223 | 43.9%98 W · 125 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Yes | 5c | 937.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 33c | 922.42$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.