Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc524cd704cb0274742b09cfb553462275c23e50b86ea4c10f4899b99d6bb9f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $920,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $868,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $920,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 11c | 150,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 130,106$11,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,935.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 11c | 106,363$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.95 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 11c | 72,727$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 69,078$7,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,504.58 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 0c | 52,048$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Yes | 11c | 30,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 29,625$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.75 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 10c | 23,840$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.97 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 11c | 16,965$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.15 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…6a32backed Yes | 11c | 8,053$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.83 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…a129backed Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +562.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d1…61c7backed Yes | 11c | 3,827$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…5c52backed Yes | 11c | 3,485$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 12c | 3,250$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,700$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 11c | 2,550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.51 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 10c | 2,450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 11c | 2,448$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.24 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 11c | 1,855$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes | 10c | 1,835$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,636$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 12c | 1,608$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.97 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 11c | 1,442$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…bb32backed Yes | 11c | 1,436$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 11c | 1,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +336.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…ea73backed Yes | 11c | 1,353$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ff98backed Yes | 11c | 1,318$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 11c | 1,058$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,043$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d9…ecf3backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…7271backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…8cf5backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c3…322bbacked Yes | 11c | 920.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 200 | 24.5%49 W · 151 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…cf74backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…4463backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…0b08backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…e5bebacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 11c | 909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…8048backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…da74backed Yes | 11c | 881.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 11c | 876.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 11c | 876.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…37d1backed Yes | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 15.6%14 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886b…5b66backed Yes | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…e86abacked Yes | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…e85fbacked Yes | 11c | 710.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 699$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…c5d1backed Yes | 12c | 696.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 120 | 26.7%32 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 11c | 690$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 11c | 681.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 2c | 661.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…fd99backed Yes | 11c | 661$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 6c | 661$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 3c | 611.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…a28abacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 11c | 594.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…d2c9backed Yes | 11c | 590.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes | 11c | 588$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 7c | 575$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 8c | 573$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…4259backed Yes | 11c | 543$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…b91bbacked Yes | 11c | 537.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 11c | 531.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 11c | 509.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…ab25backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…784abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…31b8backed Yes | 11c | 498.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 10c | 474.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 11c | 472.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 20.4%30 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.