TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$920,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$868,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $920,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes11c150,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,50042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c130,106$11,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,935.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes11c106,363$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,699.953129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes11c72,727$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c69,078$7,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,504.582,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Yes0c52,048$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6517229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes11c30,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes11c29,625$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,258.7556410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes10c23,840$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.9751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes11c16,965$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.159218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes11c9,091$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc990…6a32backed Yes11c8,053$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.83234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes11c4,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4957821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c4…a129backed Yes11c4,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+562.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d1…61c7backed Yes11c3,827$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2976…5c52backed Yes11c3,485$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes12c3,250$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Yes10c2,700$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes11c2,550$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5156022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes10c2,450$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.691,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes11c2,448$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.2477433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes11c1,855$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes10c1,835$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5323.1%1 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes11c1,636$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes12c1,608$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.97826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes11c1,442$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.626835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd6…bb32backed Yes11c1,436$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.946640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c4…c131backed Yes11c1,400$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+336.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ba…ea73backed Yes11c1,353$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.85920.3%12 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+90.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc875…ff98backed Yes11c1,318$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511515.7%18 W · 97 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes11c1,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1329530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes11c1,058$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3640912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes11c1,043$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.736627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d9…ecf3backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012733.9%43 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684d…7271backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c3…322bbacked Yes11c920.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2720024.5%49 W · 151 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1a68backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009335.5%33 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005437%20 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c0…cf74backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004134.1%14 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013445.5%61 W · 73 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac29…4463backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aba…0b08backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+135.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4703…3ba6backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100634.8%3 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc757…e5bebacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011421.1%24 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes11c909$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9934231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e4…8048backed Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910045%45 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1286…da74backed Yes11c881.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720427.5%56 W · 148 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes11c876.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4512923.3%30 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes11c876.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.451565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed Yes11c818.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909015.6%14 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x886b…5b66backed Yes11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804418.2%8 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd028…e86abacked Yes11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809429.8%28 W · 66 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1400…e85fbacked Yes11c710.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.111127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes11c699$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8992732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe588…c5d1backed Yes12c696.46$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5812026.7%32 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes11c690$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.920325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes11c681.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes2c661.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0245528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d4…fd99backed Yes11c661$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7110418.3%19 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes6c661$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7334438.4%132 W · 212 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes3c611.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.051,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad81…a28abacked Yes10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607025.7%18 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes11c594.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4245424.7%112 W · 342 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9edc…d2c9backed Yes11c590.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-84.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes11c588$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.689727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes7c575$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8135035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes8c573$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3732639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f9…4259backed Yes11c543$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.735330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c9d…b91bbacked Yes11c537.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes11c531.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.520725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Yes11c509.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5619520%39 W · 156 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd558…ab25backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504922.4%11 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5816…8167backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516920.1%34 W · 135 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39b…31b8backed Yes11c498.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.82922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes10c474.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4519825.3%50 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes11c472.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014720.4%30 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504219%8 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.