Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdb2f3476907e3bbf8acb3f5fce9642e0f80373c6f3a9fe30ac38a98a05a612e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $697,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 101,503$13,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,529.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 10c | 40,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 10c | 30,600$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 24c | 30,458$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,220.8 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 10c | 11,010$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 9c | 10,422$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.98 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Yes | 24c | 9,143$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 8,742$6,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d8…94e7backed Yes | 10c | 7,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 72c | 6,010$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.74 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 5,642$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b4…e777backed Yes | 36c | 5,628$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 27c | 5,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 3c | 5,220$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 1c | 4,780$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 2c | 4,221$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 4,196$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…6a24backed Yes | 13c | 4,090$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.28 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,378$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…ab3cbacked Yes | 34c | 3,365$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…ff09backed Yes | 10c | 3,353$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.26 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 10c | 3,250$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 3,158$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.11 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…c232backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,908$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes | 3c | 2,802$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked No | 73c | 2,737$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.95 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…73afbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…616fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,256$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.39 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 5c | 2,061$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edd…74d2backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…4029backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 10c | 1,800$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 10c | 1,640$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…e0d7backed No | 72c | 1,600$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 1,561$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.92 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…540bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,516$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.24 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…abbebacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +200%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,417$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 1,341$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 27c | 1,340$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.95 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 14c | 1,317$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.01 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…6a32backed Yes | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 5c | 1,217$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 4c | 1,187$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 8c | 1,161$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed Yes | 4c | 1,148$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…642abacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 1,046$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.92 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…c780backed Yes | 14c | 1,041$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 6c | 1,006$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d9…ecf3backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…0118backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd591…3a2abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc4…1a48backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…337abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…928abacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b872backed Yes | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 9c | 995$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes | 10c | 964.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…055bbacked Yes | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…300bbacked Yes | 22c | 900$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…ac8dbacked Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 10c | 845.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 25c | 801.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…e643backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…c7f9backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 3c | 784$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 10c | 766.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dac…dcd9backed Yes | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 35c | 714$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 75c | 712.85$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…85cabacked Yes | 9c | 706.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…4ef8backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf951…6ab4backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Yes | 4c | 699.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 4cpaid | +703%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…d2c9backed Yes | 29c | 691.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…8bcbbacked Yes | 10c | 680$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 10c | 678.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.