TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x219a…ded8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT9631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,137.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$1,114.72
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$1,478.59
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,012.5
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,902Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,476.35
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+900%+$1,350
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$386.36
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.77
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$173.63
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$124.61
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.1
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.67
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.9
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$93.17
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$79.01
Will Manchester United vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23.66
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26.37
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.8%+$7.17
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+33.4%+$10.42
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.2%+$65.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Madrid Open: Magdalena Frech vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.73
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.48
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$171.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+64.1%+$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.5%+$17.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$63.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.