Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61070b7b5a01d1a4ae3e72039a5cb722678aa99a00140e41919afb9f5442efb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 3,783$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.54 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 72c | 2,805$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 24c | 2,485$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.68 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 1,262$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 30c | 1,102$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.79 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 74c | 834.85$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 21c | 825.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 30c | 788.83$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.45 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Yes | 17c | 692.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 19c | 531.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 520.25$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 22c | 442.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 26c | 388.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 18c | 322.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 6c | 280$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 20c | 246$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 19c | 222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…602abacked Yes | 20c | 219.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 28c | 167.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed No | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 72c | 148.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 135.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 9c | 126.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 20c | 125.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…0724backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…f682backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…90a8backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…dd8abacked Yes | 20c | 97.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 31c | 96.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 18c | 85.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 32c | 63.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 79c | 22.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.