TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$983,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,006,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $983,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 609 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No31c160,772$50,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,166.671,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed Yes69c120,414$83,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,328.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed No31c100,000$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No31c37,000$11,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4709857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes69c36,015$25,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,993.238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No30c34,043$10,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,344.458040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes69c30,000$20,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.991764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No28c27,798$7,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,743.8615442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Yes62c27,338$17,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,280.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c26,180$13,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,404.2746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes73c25,000$18,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes71c22,443$15,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,535.21825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No31c22,036$6,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,775.6739746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No29c20,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.954540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes69c18,383$12,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,698.8610443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No29c18,176$5,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,270.954658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No29c17,962$5,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,209.017346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes70c15,000$10,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,424.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No30c14,937$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,481.059348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…2ccdbacked Yes71c12,827$9,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No29c12,162$3,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.125545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No38c12,085$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.5534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No30c11,000$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c10,834$3,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,358.968836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes37c10,723$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,741.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.997060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c9,221$5,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.041,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked No1c8,459$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.59633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a30…b575backed No28c8,389$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes70c8,000$5,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4306221%13 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked No29c6,539$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.282615.4%4 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No30c6,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9911218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No29c6,500$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.9961447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed No29c6,416$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.6110%0 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No31c6,351$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011438.6%44 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes68c5,393$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7323964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No29c5,283$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.119159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x967b…c925backed Yes70c5,142$3,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.51366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes71c4,688$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.46757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes71c4,582$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.646451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No28c4,552$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.9943427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No30c4,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3504944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No44c4,434$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.3820462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No31c4,268$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.2758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No28c4,200$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.9919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2407750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No31c3,529$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.276558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No40c3,285$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.95350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No33c3,254$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.9137544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No36c3,162$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.549444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes71c2,816$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe71…bd57backed Yes71c2,298$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes50c2,292$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.654153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No27c2,097$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9439842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes50c2,035$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.8520343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed Yes69c1,980$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-65.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes74c1,978$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.938027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes71c1,902$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.621464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc18b…8bafbacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+222.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No28c1,767$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.653844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No30c1,666$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.813151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes71c1,634$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.82744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes37c1,622$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.521844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9824327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc5…63c0backed Yes70c1,475$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No53c1,413$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.966428.1%18 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes60c1,363$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.088259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.353256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes70c1,334$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.398151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes70c1,309$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.572070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No23c1,224$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.385335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No44c1,216$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.5338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594f…9145backed Yes59c1,179$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed Yes44c1,177$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+84.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No32c1,172$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.492334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes67c1,168$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.23342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No31c1,158$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes70c1,143$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes55c1,105$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.343860.5%23 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes73c1,006$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.799643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed No31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed No31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+125.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf26…d919backed No31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ebd…a1e7backed Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Yes63c991.11$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.711050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes68c963$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.168848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…5120backed Yes30c951.95$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.91633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d3…45c3backed No31c933.48$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No38c933.17$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2638935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No29c925.2$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3117853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed No30c923.3$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.124619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ea…f888backed No46c900$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.