TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b8a…0724

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category AI at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,670
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$37.19
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$219.04
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$9.3
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$19.94
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$23.68
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$64.29
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$35
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$978.95
Will FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.67
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+1,150%+$575
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$44.81
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.5%+$25.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$187
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+334.8%+$133.91
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+36.2%+$223.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.