Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd420a60cc5409c5c6b60ea1006c3aab7051ba83a832156a2bf6080eaeecf1b31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 33c | 11,483$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,748.4 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Yes | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 8,788$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.11 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 50c | 8,731$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.27 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 6,982$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.24 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 45c | 5,612$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.92 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 78c | 5,134$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 67c | 4,215$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 2,599$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.3 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 54c | 2,044$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.01 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Yes | 20c | 1,781$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 16c | 1,593$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 65c | 1,462$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.32 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 8c | 1,160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 68c | 1,036$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 26c | 961.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…8ba6backed Yes | 59c | 815.2$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 610$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.3 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…fdedbacked Yes | 20c | 527.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 9c | 509.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…ab6fbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 8c | 499.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 72c | 489$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 407.32$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 8c | 286.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 19c | 273.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 8c | 260$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 45c | 239$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Yes | 62c | 215.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed Yes | 52c | 214.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…72e6backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Yes | 25c | 163.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…47d7backed Yes | 77c | 140.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 35c | 126.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 79c | 121$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 58c | 120.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 42c | 119.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 19c | 109.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…f3f3backed Yes | 40c | 105.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…7223backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a2…36f2backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 98.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…9fd1backed Yes | 42c | 93.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 70c | 92.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 20c | 88.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 50c | 76.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Yes | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 71.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…dbfdbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Yes | 26c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 55.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…0724backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 42c | 45.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…7d56backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…d189backed Yes | 66c | 39.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Yes | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…d5f0backed Yes | 77c | 32.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed Yes | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…9101backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…1659backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…e5a1backed Yes | 53c | 29.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 41c | 27.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…7f44backed Yes | 74c | 20.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12be…3455backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.