TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa52…85b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+80.8%+$149.32
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.35
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54.9
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.3
Will Celtic beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.06
Will Arsenal beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+31.6%+$120
Will Feyenoord beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$115.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$81.6
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$116
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$91.49
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$112.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$68.9
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+89.8%+$59.49
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$128
Will Real Sociedad beat Dynamo Kyiv?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+42.9%+$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.43
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs ALLINNERS (BO3)backed Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$78
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.