TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Arsenal beat Monaco?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No23c6,914$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.2139842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9721037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes75c1,603$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.9624252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b3d…f0c9backed No20c1,542$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa492…d264backed Yes75c1,351$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed No27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No28c1,000$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6319645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x159f…90ccbacked Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No23c999.91$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.981822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes77c996.14$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No28c860.06$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9822647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes73c852.62$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5817053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb341…cbdcbacked No26c829.32$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Yes73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked No27c741.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a3b…e3babacked Yes74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Yes76c608.79$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.021560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes77c608.09$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0920667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No13c505.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7625735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11518650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes77c500$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11724455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa52…85b7backed Yes76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Yes73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11512956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes75c480.07$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.023145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed No27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89a7…e4c8backed Yes75c267.39$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+46.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b5c…f96fbacked No52c249.46$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No25c224.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0917658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes74c223.53$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0312862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe763…3d69backed Yes76c220$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed No26c204$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe534…bfafbacked Yes77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes76c190$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.67346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes77c160.34$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.887266.7%48 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes78c158.65$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.114045%18 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes73c156.56$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes72c155$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.43161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes76c154.98$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8816836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No30c143.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4217348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.587876.9%60 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No16c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2599…61cdbacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…3312backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes70c87.14$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.145429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…c301backed Yes76c84.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes76c67.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.283655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed No20c65.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.191330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes72c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.454866.7%32 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2b…ac5cbacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes68c63.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.179762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked No27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes75c54.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No26c49.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.997846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.612737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa382…b743backed Yes79c44.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…aba8backed Yes75c43.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes79c38.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Yes76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked Yes78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Yes75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ac…3e33backed Yes76c26.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.411050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x047a…e210backed Yes75c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1179…710bbacked Yes76c25.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0daf…80d9backed Yes74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfa…4678backed Yes76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Yes76c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.474367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Yes77c14.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96af…3768backed Yes77c14.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae3c…2808backed Yes77c14.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9615…3a50backed Yes77c13.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…417dbacked Yes76c13.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.