TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a7b…7bc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.18
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.98
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.13
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+42.9%+$25.2
Will the Thunder beat the Bucks by 5 or more points?backed OKC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$51.73
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+85.2%+$29.81
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$60.92
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+29.9%+$7.02
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+43.2%+$30.21
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$29.25
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$34.28
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+43.7%+$17.49
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$15.68
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$30.5
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$17.19
Thunder vs. Pelicansbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+25.6%+$9.18
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+108.3%+$75.83
Will Bologna beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will the match between Juventus and Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+127.3%+$103.07
Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+163.2%+$203.87
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$56.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+112.8%+$28.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$41.06
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35.24
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Die With A Smile' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.