Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a41eba8bd729f6c93e1fe66524168fd2a65ecccd3a88e6a1501a8635f00bdb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 21c | 16,330$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.83 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed Yes | 12c | 13,060$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 14c | 11,118$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.99 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked Yes | 4c | 9,766$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 68c | 7,392$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.38 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 6,716$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…af9bbacked No | 73c | 6,426$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 26c | 5,779$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.85 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 66c | 5,609$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Yes | 16c | 5,304$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…8e58backed No | 74c | 4,964$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 4,949$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.87 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 11c | 4,453$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.07 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…7dfebacked Yes | 24c | 4,353$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 20c | 4,182$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.34 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 79c | 4,111$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.37 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 44c | 4,093$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 20c | 3,895$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.03 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Yes | 30c | 3,734$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Yes | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f4…4458backed Yes | 10c | 3,261$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017e…1bf7backed Yes | 13c | 3,250$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…0fc2backed Yes | 16c | 3,194$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 8c | 3,190$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.33 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed No | 57c | 2,926$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…7752backed No | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 75c | 2,669$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 17c | 2,497$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.88 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 15c | 2,378$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.49 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 2c | 2,360$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 2,300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 70c | 2,261$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.54 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 73c | 2,251$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.77 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed Yes | 38c | 2,250$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.91 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…7099backed Yes | 19c | 1,993$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…a39fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,985$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 21c | 1,945$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.7 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,930$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 69c | 1,600$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.5 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 9c | 1,571$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed No | 62c | 1,550$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb04…1a5ebacked No | 65c | 1,547$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…fff1backed Yes | 20c | 1,532$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 75c | 1,524$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.53 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,469$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.54 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 12c | 1,399$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,381$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…618fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…5930backed No | 79c | 1,260$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 24c | 1,227$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.41 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…e696backed Yes | 11c | 1,209$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes | 19c | 1,170$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…a6d8backed Yes | 17c | 1,120$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…1409backed Yes | 19c | 1,062$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…2f11backed Yes | 7c | 1,011$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…0fe0backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…c256backed Yes | 38c | 996.05$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.22 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 8c | 978.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…9447backed Yes | 20c | 969.17$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…b618backed Yes | 14c | 889.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de8…fc01backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…6feebacked Yes | 14c | 695.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 651.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963d…7dd8backed Yes | 8c | 603.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed No | 73c | 598.25$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 2c | 580$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…ee62backed Yes | 13c | 570$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 34c | 565.79$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…64a2backed Yes | 18c | 544.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…e21cbacked No | 65c | 543.28$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 14c | 542.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…d9e1backed Yes | 38c | 526.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…4180backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…6a1dbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…67c1backed No | 72c | 500$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2388backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…2be1backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 37c | 499.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 73c | 448.53$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 22c | 448.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 445.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…6dc7backed Yes | 2c | 442.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…36efbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfa…719ebacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 32c | 375.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed Yes | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…8625backed Yes | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.