TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c60…67c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 5 executive orders in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$30
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$17.16
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+38.5%+$139
Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's address to Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$166.12
Will Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's address to Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+37.6%+$27.3
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+48.6%+$81.75
Will Trump mention DeepSeek by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Congress passes funding bill before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+25%+$60
Will 175-199 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$28.5
Will 100-149 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$22.5
Will 200-209 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$22.5
Will 210 or more Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will 150-174 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+35.3%+$117.4
Will AOC lead House oversight committee? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Trump nominate Ben Carson for HUD Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+53.8%+$7.7
Will Trump nominate Robert Wilkie for Secretary of Veterans Affairs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+51.5%+$7.48
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$118.52
Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.7
Will Mitch McConnell retire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+25%+$80
Will less than 8 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$473.95
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$136.07
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+60%+$37.5
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+27.9%+$163.46
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+29.9%+$57.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$31
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$23.5
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$54
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$42
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+29.3%+$37.87
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+100.9%+$110.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 316 tonight?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$20.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.