Us Midterms · resolved market
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98bafdb1a843ad1ee3f10222f43c8b675940922b119c0e0364a219281306098f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 62c | 11,836$7,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.39 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…827ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 74c | 7,638$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.71 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 69c | 6,992$4,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 76c | 6,453$4,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.03 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 68c | 5,645$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…5f46backed Yes | 68c | 5,458$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 22c | 5,000$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.17 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 36c | 4,115$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.65 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…e8aabacked Yes | 66c | 3,509$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708f…f236backed No | 26c | 3,482$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 54c | 3,300$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…01c0backed No | 32c | 3,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 33c | 2,943$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.26 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed Yes | 77c | 2,712$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.79 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…852bbacked No | 69c | 2,481$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…31fdbacked Yes | 76c | 2,254$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…8c3fbacked No | 45c | 2,250$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed No | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 70c | 2,037$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…058fbacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe318…bc12backed No | 26c | 1,887$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 78c | 1,731$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 77c | 1,641$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.92 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 69c | 1,613$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.15 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…2749backed No | 56c | 1,609$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…e5dcbacked Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed Yes | 69c | 1,287$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 1,242$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.63 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…3013backed Yes | 68c | 1,183$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…fca2backed Yes | 30c | 1,038$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked No | 22c | 1,006$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed Yes | 78c | 1,001$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1949…515ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…9db4backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 999$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 32c | 956.24$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 78c | 900$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed No | 19c | 796.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…a2cabacked Yes | 65c | 768.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…67c1backed Yes | 78c | 750$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 36c | 605.56$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked Yes | 69c | 575.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked No | 31c | 510.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…e539backed Yes | 54c | 492.04$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…bdabbacked No | 25c | 437.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 33c | 435.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 45c | 425$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 22c | 415$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…201bbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ec73backed Yes | 22c | 399$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…4949backed Yes | 5c | 365.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed Yes | 70c | 338.44$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc9…ac63backed Yes | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 58c | 319.94$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 311.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.69 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 66c | 302$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…896ebacked No | 55c | 298.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…c5e4backed No | 65c | 277.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…6600backed No | 28c | 258.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…a981backed Yes | 65c | 222.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 71c | 205$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…1e9cbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…34ecbacked No | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…b7cfbacked No | 35c | 173.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…9168backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92c…c620backed Yes | 11c | 134.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…f79dbacked No | 37c | 134.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 72c | 131$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3098…568abacked Yes | 71c | 113.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 14c | 107.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +228.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…0af5backed Yes | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…99bcbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…399abacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…3350backed Yes | 25c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 52c | 72.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…0a64backed No | 28c | 71.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…ca27backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d2…61cebacked Yes | 72c | 58.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8360…802cbacked Yes | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…8d23backed Yes | 65c | 51.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…bdd4backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?this page
- Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?No won
- Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin US Senate Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.