Us Politics · resolved market
Congress passes funding bill before 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eef2324c7205d00cb6054702fb3c500b55b4be8918b25ebe358e886bbc95c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 14c | 2,000$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed No | 19c | 806$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 74c | 714.61$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.91 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 17c | 524.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…5338backed No | 44c | 448.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed No | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 79c | 378.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed No | 16c | 322.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…dcedbacked No | 32c | 314.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…67c1backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 63c | 262.53$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 20c | 262$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…6ba7backed No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 9c | 219.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…b6a8backed No | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…6ecabacked Yes | 77c | 180.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked Yes | 65c | 125.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 20c | 103.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…8d4fbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 13c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked No | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…b187backed Yes | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…b94fbacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.