TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7960…f8a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
246
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5922%13 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.38
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.7
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.16
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.95
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$182
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
U.S. forces in Gaza before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Trump pardon 500-749 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump pardon 750-999 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Chip Roy announce he won't seek reelection?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.08
Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Trump cut NPR funding in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+132.6%+$28.49
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.98
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.23
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.61
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.09
Will the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$120.4
Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.64
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+735.6%+$92.87
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Boeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.54
Canada election called before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.88
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+150%+$120
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$38.99
Will the CDU/CSU win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+126.7%+$92.84
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
Will the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+83.8%+$58.03
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$66
Will Siumut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+131.7%+$34.1
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+556.6%+$14,410.99
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+269%+$1,093.49
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,907Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$2,317.9
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+175%+$1,123.28
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.27
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$36.2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,591.75
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.21
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,059.14
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$37.2
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$51.05
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.05
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.47
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$465
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.53
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+566.7%+$85
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
Will "Heart Eyes" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8-11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+100%+$36.37
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5-8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+566.7%+$110.5
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will 'Nosferatu' win Best Cinematography in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Will 'All We Imagine as Light' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $7m and $10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross between $20-24m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross more than $24m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross less than $16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+334.8%+$348.61
Will Timothée Chalamet win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+39.2%+$39.4
Will Ralph Fiennes win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.06
Will Adrien Brody win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+62.1%+$24.31
Will 'El Mal' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Song?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+44.1%+$57.81
Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+80.2%+$160.98
Will Glen Powell win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.62
Will Sebastian Stan win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+710.9%+$263.1
Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.11
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
6.0+ earthquake in Mediterranean by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+138.1%+$23.2
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+37.9%+$22
Will the high in Washington DC be 30°F or higher on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will the high in Washington DC be between 22-23°F on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will the high in Washington DC be between 24-25°F on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$175.6
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+131.1%+$124.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Browns draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+168.6%+$111.11
Will the Raiders draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$7
Will the Giants draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.4
Will the Vikings resign Sam Darnold?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+203%+$134
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+138.1%+$23.2
Will the Jaguars hire Todd Monken as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will the Jets hire Rex Ryan as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.14
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$53.29
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+167.6%+$793.56
Will India win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+179.7%+$154.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+69.5%+$45.51
Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$11.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+170.8%+$190.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it take Jerry 4000-4999 strokes to hit a Hole in One?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$132.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.