Middle East · resolved market
Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21624323745659f2b4c5b0e85fa881566fcd1f7efeff916582270aa368fc242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 79c | 9,101$7,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.91 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 21c | 8,936$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 29c | 8,297$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.56 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 78c | 6,954$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.88 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 80c | 2,909$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.03 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,717$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…a403backed No | 72c | 2,319$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a9…5369backed Yes | 4c | 2,085$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 67c | 2,031$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.23 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…d5fabacked Yes | 26c | 1,921$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 14c | 1,887$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 1,877$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 16c | 1,857$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed Yes | 16c | 1,751$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,661$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.34 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 16c | 1,531$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 72c | 1,465$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 6c | 1,383$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 74c | 1,367$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 76c | 1,317$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.72 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f7…b90abacked Yes | 4c | 1,061$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed No | 75c | 999.99$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 10c | 909.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…cff4backed Yes | 32c | 888.28$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed Yes | 5c | 832.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 15c | 802.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…6785backed Yes | 33c | 797.59$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 36c | 765.41$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…f1b6backed Yes | 33c | 624.63$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 617.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 61c | 557.95$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…0261backed No | 76c | 531.72$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Yes | 32c | 512.07$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 8c | 490$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 78c | 476.46$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…061cbacked Yes | 27c | 467.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 79c | 464.2$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 439.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…7894backed Yes | 4c | 425.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…e1d0backed Yes | 31c | 411.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Yes | 39c | 407.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed No | 63c | 366.36$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 70c | 365$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 22c | 355.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 19c | 322.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 66c | 312.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 67c | 299$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 62c | 296.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…c319backed No | 79c | 283.28$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 29c | 276.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 22c | 259.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…e9dbbacked No | 77c | 253.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…a496backed Yes | 48c | 233.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed Yes | 19c | 233.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…c1b8backed Yes | 22c | 232.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 79c | 220.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…eb87backed No | 71c | 212.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…1464backed Yes | 8c | 211$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 29c | 203.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…6ce0backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…06abbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…4cecbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca8…bfb2backed No | 66c | 187.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 27c | 169.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…6151backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 68c | 149.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 78c | 140.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 30c | 138$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 80c | 132$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…60a0backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…f050backed No | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 70c | 108.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a7…84a8backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…57d5backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…c8a2backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e63…eb82backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…4e99backed No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…a74cbacked No | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…05adbacked Yes | 19c | 86.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…c8dcbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…4cdcbacked No | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…cacabacked Yes | 43c | 85.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 85.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…372bbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…64e3backed Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…7c05backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.