TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e61…60a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.39
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$137.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$175
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.97
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+128.3%+$48.76
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+65.7%+$82.11
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+82.6%+$28.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.28
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+83.6%+$267.8
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+100.9%+$151.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$54.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.