Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b01f79ee5ada0a16f0a967c0e857490e99669373c04ba8439b7e9723d58e031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,103,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,106,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,103,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 14c | 213,477$29,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,653.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 77c | 90,809$69,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,035.07 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 19c | 38,705$7,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,234.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ad…1c73backed No | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 12c | 11,928$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.86 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 29c | 11,491$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.23 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 78c | 10,904$8,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.84 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 12c | 10,705$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.05 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…322dbacked No | 71c | 9,566$6,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…c3bfbacked Yes | 19c | 8,873$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…bb25backed Yes | 27c | 8,116$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…dd1ebacked Yes | 28c | 7,590$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.59 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 17c | 7,501$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.17 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…e679backed No | 69c | 6,735$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.97 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…8e4ebacked Yes | 31c | 6,463$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…7295backed Yes | 39c | 5,806$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 16c | 5,023$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…9680backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…2053backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5071…e1a1backed Yes | 17c | 4,250$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 68c | 4,012$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…ff8cbacked No | 75c | 3,597$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…954fbacked No | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b8…fbb0backed Yes | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 3,435$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.04 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 8c | 3,089$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed Yes | 17c | 3,026$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.99 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 7c | 2,999$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…fa5cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,730$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed No | 78c | 2,542$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.73 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…bc6bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,142$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.88 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Yes | 25c | 1,842$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,827$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 1,625$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed No | 70c | 1,619$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…fdb8backed No | 77c | 1,585$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.07 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 22c | 1,415$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.9 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 17c | 1,384$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.3 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked No | 77c | 1,350$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5a…2d96backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed No | 75c | 1,162$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 22c | 1,107$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed Yes | 33c | 1,070$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 72c | 1,059$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.05 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…af98backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…0f1bbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1043backed Yes | 24c | 988.53$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.46 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 28c | 926.14$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…6574backed Yes | 40c | 879.35$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb411…8cd6backed Yes | 32c | 860.47$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee1…b641backed Yes | 16c | 840.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 18c | 835.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 15c | 799.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes | 10c | 769.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 26c | 768$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…4fbebacked Yes | 23c | 709.21$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…27eabacked Yes | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +400.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c9…74c8backed Yes | 33c | 651.06$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 75c | 647.18$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 5c | 631.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1183…cb21backed Yes | 33c | 617.07$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed Yes | 25c | 602.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…4c69backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…3647backed Yes | 36c | 581.59$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 5c | 579.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…5647backed Yes | 18c | 570.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0234…446bbacked Yes | 34c | 570.45$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…37aabacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…eaeabacked Yes | 34c | 543.03$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…bdf8backed No | 73c | 520.69$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…c354backed Yes | 67c | 518.64$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…8092backed Yes | 34c | 506.84$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Yes | 16c | 501.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…a8f1backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…6780backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a15…1573backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 33c | 499.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…c088backed No | 79c | 494.98$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0481…0954backed Yes | 24c | 494.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 70c | 484.13$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…952cbacked Yes | 38c | 469.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4f…6310backed Yes | 22c | 455.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…7da5backed Yes | 41c | 454.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…f5f7backed Yes | 41c | 437.59$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…904bbacked No | 71c | 422.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed Yes | 38c | 414.7$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…30bfbacked Yes | 34c | 412.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…9160backed Yes | 23c | 411.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8d…ab7dbacked Yes | 25c | 394.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…661bbacked No | 79c | 386.69$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…c20bbacked Yes | 31c | 384.42$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…3c62backed No | 54c | 377.76$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x171e…6141backed Yes | 20c | 373.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 28c | 370$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…e7e5backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 55c | 350$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afd…52c9backed Yes | 33c | 345.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.