TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b06…0b42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
331
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google dip to $255 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$49.27
Will Google dip to $280 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will Google reach $310 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$1,402.6
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$240.65
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.41
Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 4750 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 4500 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 5250 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$22.58
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 5% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$179.45
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$63.53
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$24.49
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.71
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Amazon dip to $192 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.64
Will Netflix reach $105 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,371Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$1,607.49
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 6500 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 7000 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4800 (LOW) in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4500 (LOW) in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,966
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.8%+$40.51
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arianna Fontana (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$662.22
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$331.64
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 5000m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Benson Kipruto (KEN) win gold in the Men’s Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Ana Patricia Silva & Lisboa Duda (BRA) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$136.01
Will Alison dos Santos (BRA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$81.41
Will another team win gold in the Men’s 4x100m Relay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will France win gold in the Women’s 4x100m Relay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will the USA win gold in the Women’s 4x100m Relay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.11
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$285.52
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+460.7%+$369.73
Will Letsile Tebogo (BOT) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+1,664.7%+$226.4
Will Kenneth Bednarek (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.84
Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Nigeriabacked Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mykolas Alekna (LTU) win Gold in Discus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT+222.6%+$88.09
Will Quincy Hall (USA) win gold in the Men’s 400m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT+266.7%+$400
Will Julien Alfred (LCA) win gold in 200m W?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$54
Will Gabrielle Thomas (USA) win gold in 200m W?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$70
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$127.6
Olympic Basketball: Canada vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will Keely Hodgkinson (GBR) win gold in 800m W?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sifan Hassan (NED) win gold in 5000m W?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.49
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.43
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+357%+$498.84
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.22
Will Everton beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$34
Will Ipswich Town beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool beat Nottingham Forest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+455.6%+$820
Will Southampton beat Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Bournemouth beat Everton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$20.72
Will Liverpool vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will Brentford beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Aston Villa beat Arsenal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$110.5
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$69
Will Ipswich Town beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest beat Southampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$170
Will Leicester City beat Fulham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.57
Will Southampton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$77
Will Tottenham vs Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$17
Will Manchester United beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$48
Will Brighton vs Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Crystal Palace beat Brentford?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$234
Will West Ham United beat Aston Villa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$12.68
Will Brighton & Hove Albion beat Everton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$227.7
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,704Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$1,139.52
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$395
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$249.27
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$179.95
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$359.98
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$248
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.96
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT2313%3 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-54.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Pandemic" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Ozempic" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump say "RFK" or "Kennedy" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "India" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Pakistan" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+215%+$1,223.33
Will $Trump FDV be $5-10b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,528.73
Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$895.25
Will $Trump FDV be $10-15b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$80.83
Will $Trump FDV be $45-50b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.34
Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+253.4%+$3,316.88
Will $Trump FDV be $35-40b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$458
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Will $Trump FDV be $40-45b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.58
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39.36
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+286.8%+$243.76
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$50.46
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.81
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+215.1%+$195.93
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$275.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,425.11
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,048.57
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.34
Will BNB reach $700 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.92
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$1,266.9
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+136.1%+$1,794.68
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$2,889.75
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$667.32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$881
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.66
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Solana all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$8,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$8,419.77
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+39.7%+$584.22
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$232
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$110.05
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.08
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$44.58
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$335.99
Lions vs. Texansbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+56.2%+$15
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+38.9%+$154
Commanders vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.68
Broncos vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$87.24
Seahawks vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$135
Jets vs. Giantsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$186.3
Lions vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.07
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.2
Texans vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.82
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$66.14
Packers vs. Ravensbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$86
Raiders vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$187.5
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$166.32
Texans vs. Giantsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Patriots vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT+150%+$68.13
All 20 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-59.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.6
Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.63
Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$173.53
Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Will Sayf win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.51
Will Serena Brancale win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$174.99
Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.66
Will Nayt win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+202.4%+$364.37
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+84.1%+$232.82
Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$65
New Diddy charges before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$111.07
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $61-70m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$88
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$35.46
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $53-61m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$58.1
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross more than $70m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$211.5
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$354.55
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$195
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.54
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$816.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$1,078.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.15
Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,001
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$161
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,061.99
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$216
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Official Trump above $12.50 on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+100%+$34
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $500m and $1b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,104.95
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,477.96
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $1b and $1.5b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$401
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $1.5b and $2b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Dogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$38.45
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.85
Will Coinbase list $PEPE in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+426.3%+$177.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-65.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+506.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+104.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$56
Whittaker vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$98
Magomedov vs. Petrosyanbacked Petrosyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Florida winner?backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$45
CFB: North Carolina vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$421.57
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
F1 Dutch GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.