Middle East · resolved market
Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x797ccdba8f486603a0dc420b8b0281720d8c825c8eca17fd0d738dc7a883dae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00ee…df8fbacked No | 2c | 7,455$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 4c | 6,912$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.96 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 13c | 5,737$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.29 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db4…d1aebacked No | 5c | 4,144$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 20c | 3,053$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 7c | 2,886$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.45per pick | 55cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 2,721$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed No | 2c | 2,676$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…8b4fbacked No | 9c | 2,670$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…eb51backed No | 19c | 2,566$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,810$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed No | 4c | 1,639$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 7c | 1,602$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…8e5cbacked No | 15c | 1,519$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 5c | 1,452$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 11c | 1,447$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…a39bbacked No | 11c | 1,439$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked No | 25c | 1,395$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.34 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 12c | 1,379$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 9c | 1,357$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 2c | 1,065$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…0d19backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 78c | 950$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…96b8backed No | 8c | 948.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 16c | 900.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 8c | 897.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 12c | 882.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…667ebacked No | 6c | 861.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked No | 4c | 857$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 12c | 856.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 2c | 847.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…3df6backed No | 5c | 766.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 704.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 14c | 669.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 11c | 649.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 9c | 588.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed No | 19c | 570.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed No | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa433…67ccbacked No | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 80c | 527.6$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…c07fbacked No | 13c | 519.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…43fabacked No | 12c | 508.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…51ecbacked No | 9c | 479.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…a5eebacked No | 17c | 461.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 12c | 459.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked No | 12c | 449.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec63…85ddbacked No | 17c | 409.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 5c | 402.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 15c | 390$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…65bbbacked No | 25c | 384.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 4c | 382.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…c8aabacked No | 14c | 360.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed No | 17c | 360.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…37fbbacked Yes | 70c | 352.37$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…228dbacked No | 3c | 334.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed No | 13c | 323.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…bfc9backed No | 11c | 311.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…8fe0backed No | 7c | 310$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 14c | 294.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 18c | 275.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…249abacked No | 15c | 271.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed No | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 15c | 249.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa12f…3322backed No | 15c | 249.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 4c | 249$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 5c | 247$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aeb…cb83backed No | 7c | 245.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…f7dbbacked No | 6c | 241.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 26c | 241.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed No | 22c | 231.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…07ccbacked No | 24c | 209.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4803…6febbacked No | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 12c | 204.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 7c | 200.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5e…4168backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 9c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef4…833cbacked No | 15c | 199.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 14c | 194.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes | 78c | 185$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked No | 16c | 161.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 17c | 160.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 10c | 159.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 11c | 149.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39d…00bcbacked No | 18c | 143.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…704fbacked Yes | 77c | 141$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a4…c98fbacked No | 20c | 131.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…e12abacked No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.