TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d7e…a7b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6346%29 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+490.6%+$147.18
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$98.96
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.32
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$47.54
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$63.12
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.88
Will the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.07
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$901.27
Will the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Will Conservative People’s Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.24
Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$48.75
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900.86
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,151.55
Will Liberal Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.94
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$324.62
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$196.43
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$96.08
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$212.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$135.04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58.58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$152.43
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81%+$285.28
Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$135.05
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$336.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$27.75
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.68
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.6
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.08
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$82.79
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.88
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.59
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+31.2%+$38.55
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+115%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+88.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+32.9%+$14.23
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+143.3%+$143.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will Portugal beat Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.16
Will West Ham vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+35.8%+$137.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$98.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$255
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.