Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x323662daf184cc9fb30d7ad4f854c0273d0f916edd5df62234e67daadaedb56e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac26…888ebacked No | 19c | 87,857$16,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,934.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 80c | 73,711$58,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,985.4 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…d6c0backed Yes | 79c | 32,235$25,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,875.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 70c | 15,802$11,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.3 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 79c | 13,891$10,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 26c | 9,582$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.7 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Yes | 75c | 9,000$6,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 18c | 8,076$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.65 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 68c | 7,263$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.05 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…bc7dbacked No | 28c | 6,870$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 38c | 5,271$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 29c | 4,147$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.34 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 78c | 3,700$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 75c | 2,659$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.14 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed No | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 73c | 1,980$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.67 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df6…a362backed No | 29c | 1,699$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Yes | 77c | 1,643$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 33c | 1,540$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.59 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,527$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.29 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…7bd7backed Yes | 61c | 1,443$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 33c | 1,370$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.83 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 28c | 1,339$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.03 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 30c | 1,264$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…f2f0backed No | 32c | 1,200$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b6…bc06backed No | 2c | 1,065$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab5…bb25backed Yes | 66c | 1,010$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…5553backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…3a52backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…7bb3backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…bd5cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…9f55backed No | 27c | 915.23$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…77e6backed Yes | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…3ff3backed No | 45c | 881.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…42e7backed Yes | 63c | 744$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…833fbacked Yes | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 56c | 599.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 571.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 16c | 550$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bc…17a4backed No | 36c | 544.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…91b8backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…3166backed Yes | 72c | 500$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 69c | 451.21$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 29c | 415.84$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed Yes | 72c | 413.09$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 383.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…b032backed No | 30c | 335.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed No | 25c | 283.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…e662backed No | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…c4a1backed No | 39c | 259.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…64b7backed Yes | 74c | 249.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d15…1347backed Yes | 79c | 242.05$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…4deebacked No | 34c | 233.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…a055backed No | 44c | 228.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked No | 34c | 216.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…6cb0backed No | 18c | 211.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 48c | 208.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…3f46backed Yes | 73c | 204.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 21c | 200.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb393…f733backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…1fa6backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…7d2ebacked No | 25c | 162.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ff…2a5fbacked No | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…0d11backed No | 33c | 157.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650c…92b3backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809e…6c09backed No | 24c | 123.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…911dbacked No | 32c | 118.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…5c8abacked Yes | 66c | 115.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 71c | 103.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…535ebacked No | 25c | 94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…25c2backed Yes | 72c | 93.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…c078backed No | 17c | 91.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…7cdebacked No | 44c | 89.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…711abacked No | 40c | 88.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…5125backed No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…673abacked No | 19c | 81.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43da…3abdbacked No | 52c | 77.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked Yes | 74c | 77.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…34b0backed No | 36c | 70.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676c…2d3bbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 24c | 66.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 72c | 65.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…ca0bbacked No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…300cbacked No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…fef9backed No | 34c | 59.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…60e1backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed Yes | 53c | 42.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…9b12backed Yes | 66c | 41.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.