TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f29…9d73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST8253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Butler Bulldogs vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$97.24
Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$123.97
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. San Francisco Donsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$52.64
Maryland Terrapins vs. USC Trojansbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Air Force Falcons vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$41.57
Florida State Seminoles vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.62
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$59.99
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$50.79
Colorado State Rams vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$53
UIC Flames vs. Northern Iowa Panthersbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Southern Jaguars vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$135.99
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$55.93
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$62.14
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Northwestern State Demonsbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+150%+$120
New Orleans Privateers vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$89.21
Grambling State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$103.55
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.72
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$91.99
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT7343.8%32 W · 41 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.41
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.65
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44.62
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$32.5
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$151.5
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$107.9
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$110.88
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$84.12
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$38.64
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$58.8
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.56
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$51
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$49.06
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.53
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.53
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.53
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.88
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.64
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$11.55
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.36
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$94.8
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$125.12
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$75.5
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$136.8
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$13.26
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.36
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$16
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.92
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.36
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.83
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.71
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.57
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$13.33
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.2
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.48
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.