TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Sabres, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,243,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,269,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,243,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Sabres37c511,217$189,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189,149.5410840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hurricanes63c201,726$127,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,638.5856152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Sabres37c200,000$74,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,999.9639047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Hurricanes63c189,189$119,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,999.9910349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Hurricanes63c100,000$63,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,0008354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Hurricanes63c59,963$37,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,186.3111955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Hurricanes63c55,200$34,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,424742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Sabres37c50,000$18,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,5007946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Sabres37c45,000$16,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,65011052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed Hurricanes65c38,462$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,461.541850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Sabres36c32,202$11,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,442.6713449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Sabres37c24,934$9,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,225.5793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Hurricanes63c23,810$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,809.522846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Sabres37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5503435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Sabres37c13,514$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Hurricanes76c12,311$9,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.215735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Hurricanes63c12,222$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.1413363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Sabres37c12,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes63c11,630$7,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,303.1547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Sabres35c8,337$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,917.9325449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Hurricanes63c8,200$5,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03426058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Hurricanes63c8,190$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.317247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes69c7,939$5,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.771,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes64c7,745$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.071,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Sabres37c6,767$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.7911445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Sabres36c6,557$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.1450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres36c6,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.971,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hurricanes64c6,481$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.4226955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres36c6,331$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.261,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Hurricanes63c6,248$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.7614848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres37c6,243$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes63c5,999$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.571,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Sabres37c5,896$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.3928251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes64c5,657$3,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.151,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Sabres37c5,405$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008134.6%28 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hurricanes63c5,221$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.7779350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Hurricanes63c5,022$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.1414553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hurricanes63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Hurricanes64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa827…1adbbacked Sabres35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hurricanes63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hurricanes63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.931550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Hurricanes65c4,599$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.155853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Sabres25c4,236$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Sabres36c4,167$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hurricanes63c4,108$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.8619555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Sabres37c4,054$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes74c4,047$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.151,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd837…85d2backed Sabres37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Hurricanes64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4403740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Hurricanes63c3,772$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.6424654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Hurricanes63c3,750$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.512245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Sabres37c3,750$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.54233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Sabres37c3,430$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.0744551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres30c3,204$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.6195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Hurricanes74c3,039$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.8457157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes64c3,000$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hurricanes63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11010848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Sabres36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.971758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hurricanes67c2,800$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.8639344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Hurricanes64c2,623$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.3811749.6%58 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Sabres37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes72c2,359$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.5185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Sabres37c2,233$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.217162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes64c2,200$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.3760249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Sabres37c2,162$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Sabres36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Sabres38c1,974$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Sabres37c1,880$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.231,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres24c1,829$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.453,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Hurricanes62c1,803$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.1411745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Sabres37c1,800$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66624845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres35c1,709$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.791,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Hurricanes63c1,640$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.84965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sabres1c1,554$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.547450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Hurricanes63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Hurricanes63c1,467$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.816254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Sabres37c1,400$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51838445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes72c1,380$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.322,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres20c1,372$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Sabres37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008547.1%40 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Hurricanes74c1,283$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4423754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hurricanes62c1,250$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres11c1,239$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.361,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Sabres36c1,124$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6425045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed Hurricanes60c1,122$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…4cb0backed Sabres36c1,110$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Sabres24c1,067$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26027952%145 W · 134 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Sabres38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres36c1,039$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.081,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb2…36aabacked Sabres36c1,006$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Sabres1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Sabres37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.994837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hurricanes63c999.96$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9854047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes63c999.92$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9770547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Sabres36c996.46$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc75…3663backed Sabres36c977.78$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes72c975.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.912,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Sabres11c874.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9939343%169 W · 224 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.