TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over50c27,159$13,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,579.2767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under50c15,523$7,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,759.8186852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under50c6,767$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.511445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c5,892$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.352,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under65c2,628$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.7485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5864…ef48backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cac…dc8dbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b30…7cd8backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c3…807cbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab9…4047backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbea…7357backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d2…a45bbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a0…b0c9backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…fea2backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7363…f045backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ec…f5b4backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4784…2579backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec2…6766backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c31…0883backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd0…afe6backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dff…5abbbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580a…c66bbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2016…80aebacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b23…c9abbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32c8…a96ebacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce7…47d4backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b8…b25abacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60a…2791backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa836…9303backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d65…3804backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a0…03aebacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a2…78ebbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d43…e435backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…6cdcbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21fe…2d48backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…950bbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd74b…b67bbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7c…0298backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102f…4936backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585b…5070backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8c…5eeebacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb785…49dbbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c5c…c020backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…3e7bbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19de…22f9backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe6…0dffbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe632…f67abacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab7f…988bbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a77…9a83backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0e…fabebacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cf…02a3backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b52…3bb9backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe63…832dbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f9…74f5backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f13…b6e3backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c1,117$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.991,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003327.3%9 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-39.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c998.19$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.791,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c897.95$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.331,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c875$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over51c589$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3947051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c566.48$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.022,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Over5c545.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under53c424.53$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5347256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over4c407.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.312429.2%7 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick10cpaid+81.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa089…3401backed Under53c310.76$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.062020%4 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under50c253.18$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0312943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Under55c235.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.25560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12112548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over48c208.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9211153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011557.4%66 W · 49 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c172.13$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.952,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9ca…6725backed Over50c148.36$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.181546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over47c131.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6461848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c125.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.21,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Under51c124.31$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.915763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c114.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.220444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c113.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7445151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4e…1c13backed Over62c108$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5059950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Over49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.995054%27 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c81.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.691,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Under51c78.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3112855.5%71 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Under50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…8b83backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c65.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.659852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4161…272dbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over47c58.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.629350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Under52c55.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5411644%51 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.