NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c1c2f70661c21dd4540c5522ba9b2e0d903a5ec5b0cd88740f061085042817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Hurricanes, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Sabres | 57c | 3,205$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.3 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hurricanes | 43c | 2,047$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.7 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sabres | 59c | 1,702$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.04 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hurricanes | 40c | 1,702$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.79 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sabres | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.12 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes | 44c | 1,264$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.16 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres | 56c | 1,159$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.93 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Hurricanes | 44c | 1,052$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…92d3backed Hurricanes | 42c | 1,020$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Sabres | 65c | 925.25$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Hurricanes | 35c | 832.25$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.29 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…7e21backed Hurricanes | 44c | 764.83$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b19…72b7backed Sabres | 58c | 420$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Hurricanes | 43c | 396$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…abebbacked Sabres | 58c | 340$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes | 41c | 339.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Sabres | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 59c | 320.56$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Hurricanes | 28c | 283.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Sabres | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7017backed Sabres | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes | 32c | 249.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Hurricanes | 44c | 199.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 58c | 187.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hurricanes | 49c | 183.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Sabres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Sabres | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Sabres | 60c | 149.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Sabres | 60c | 149.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sabres | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hurricanes | 43c | 111.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Sabres | 73c | 100.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Hurricanes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Hurricanes | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 79c | 91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Sabres | 56c | 90.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Sabres | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Sabres | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Sabres | 60c | 74.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Hurricanes | 43c | 72.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Hurricanes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Hurricanes | 27c | 63.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hurricanes | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed Sabres | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Hurricanes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Hurricanes | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Hurricanes | 47c | 41.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Hurricanes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…3b6dbacked Sabres | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 42c | 33.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Sabres | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Hurricanes | 37c | 31.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked Sabres | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…058ebacked Hurricanes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Sabres | 56c | 23.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Sabres | 56c | 18.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Sabres vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.