NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cddaf31beac03bd0d49bf333d8f7e1969484084faae840422eb642daff40ced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,203,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,298,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,203,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 746 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Penguins | 39c | 490,467$192,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298,174.85 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Oilers | 61c | 379,785$231,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231,697.94 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Oilers | 61c | 110,000$66,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,649.96 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 41c | 43,279$17,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,344.49 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 61c | 27,997$16,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,964.63 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 61c | 26,113$15,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,929.19 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Oilers | 61c | 23,500$14,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,335 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Oilers | 61c | 22,221$13,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,554.79 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 61c | 22,000$13,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,420 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 38c | 21,471$8,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,312.02 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 39c | 15,306$5,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,336.36 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Oilers | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 74c | 14,391$10,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.14 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 38c | 13,619$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,429.27 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 46c | 12,006$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.33 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oilers | 60c | 11,710$7,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,043.03 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Penguins | 39c | 10,974$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,694.03 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oilers | 17c | 10,446$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.97 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Penguins | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.95 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Penguins | 78c | 9,823$7,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.61 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oilers | 46c | 8,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Oilers | 62c | 7,596$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.25 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Oilers | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oilers | 61c | 6,512$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.32 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 38c | 6,500$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers | 1c | 6,238$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 6,100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Oilers | 61c | 6,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.99 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 20c | 5,967$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 39c | 5,652$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.85 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Oilers | 62c | 5,323$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 60c | 4,784$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.28 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 40c | 4,430$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.3 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Oilers | 61c | 4,374$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.2 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Oilers | 61c | 4,055$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.38 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers | 62c | 4,050$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.95 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Penguins | 63c | 4,047$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.56 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Oilers | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers | 60c | 3,658$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.5 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oilers | 17c | 3,537$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.24 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Penguins | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.45 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 63c | 3,203$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.51 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penguins | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Penguins | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Oilers | 61c | 2,995$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 7c | 2,893$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Penguins | 39c | 2,838$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.17 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Penguins | 40c | 2,750$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c44…f690backed Oilers | 1c | 2,544$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Penguins | 39c | 2,502$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.15 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oilers | 62c | 2,493$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.34 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 1c | 2,444$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Penguins | 39c | 2,359$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.81 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 37c | 2,286$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.44 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Penguins | 39c | 2,222$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.39 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Oilers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Penguins | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.98 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penguins | 78c | 1,992$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.71 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Oilers | 2c | 1,899$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Penguins | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Oilers | 61c | 1,672$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.91 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Oilers | 60c | 1,644$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.49 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Oilers | 61c | 1,611$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.42 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 38c | 1,580$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 40c | 1,555$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.55 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,533$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 39c | 1,500$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 37c | 1,406$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 32c | 1,306$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.07 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Penguins | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.02 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b7…4d5ebacked Oilers | 61c | 1,271$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d3…ac11backed Penguins | 39c | 1,271$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…bd11backed Oilers | 61c | 1,266$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…549abacked Penguins | 39c | 1,266$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…9e21backed Oilers | 61c | 1,265$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…8234backed Penguins | 39c | 1,265$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Penguins | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.73 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Penguins | 39c | 1,245$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.72 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penguins | 39c | 1,243$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.23 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2281…668abacked Oilers | 61c | 1,233$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…5c1ebacked Penguins | 39c | 1,233$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…e728backed Penguins | 39c | 1,232$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a3…c77dbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,232$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oilers | 10c | 1,227$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0db…b33abacked Oilers | 61c | 1,203$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…b773backed Penguins | 39c | 1,203$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…b0e4backed Oilers | 61c | 1,194$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1012…2da9backed Penguins | 39c | 1,194$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b3b0backed Penguins | 39c | 1,193$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…b3c6backed Oilers | 61c | 1,193$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3a…d957backed Oilers | 61c | 1,192$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…276ebacked Penguins | 39c | 1,192$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee51…73e4backed Oilers | 61c | 1,188$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…dc0ebacked Penguins | 39c | 1,188$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…125bbacked Penguins | 39c | 1,183$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…2f37backed Oilers | 61c | 1,183$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…5042backed Oilers | 61c | 1,182$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…f4e5backed Penguins | 39c | 1,182$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Oilersthis page
- Penguins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.