NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x486bee72eaf3d6d9361138df2550bd5de365ff752c9d959866a5d980cf9b1f12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 55c | 77,478$42,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,023.05 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Under | 50c | 68,668$34,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,646.78 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 45c | 47,330$21,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,298.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 46,144$22,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,467.06 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Over | 52c | 23,628$12,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,413.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 51c | 20,887$10,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,292.72 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 13,652$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.35 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 11,635$5,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,613.49 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 49c | 8,010$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 48c | 6,006$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.89 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 5,719$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.77 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 51c | 5,655$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.39 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 48c | 5,587$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.02 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 4,020$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 2,878$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.55 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 47c | 2,670$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.9 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,819$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.15 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…5249backed Under | 51c | 1,810$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…1507backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…a8dabacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…921dbacked Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…23cbbacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…8e95backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b8…9061backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7504backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e57…bdf0backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc066…9c17backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…59d7backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…286ebacked Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…4f7fbacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…ae40backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…30fabacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…7fb7backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55c…03c9backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…5622backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7c…dbf4backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…d5cabacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc988…9fd8backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…7b8abacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…20a0backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59c…9086backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…967fbacked Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e8…3a18backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…f24bbacked Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dad…7f1ebacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed2…ac33backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…cf49backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…8016backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0a…ef2fbacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…69acbacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…0078backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8060…86b3backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…cf5fbacked Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4777…8318backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8093…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…6ca5backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ea…65e3backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0214…95dcbacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…4eafbacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…cbd8backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…f902backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…7fd0backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…8eb9backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…ca5fbacked Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…e6d1backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…2b97backed Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d1…f582backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a18…58bbbacked Over | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 1,418$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.88 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 1,247$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.95 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,093$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.64 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 1,014$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.71 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 51c | 919$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.76 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 876$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.48 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 36c | 726.01$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.55 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 48c | 652.11$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.1 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 46c | 520$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 460.42$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 51c | 356.37$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 337$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 330.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. OilersPenguins won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.