Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UIC Flames vs. Northern Iowa Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b9c0218eab374290bbe884d2b8c70704bc5c60b4454f5b6cfbd9b391a4ae18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UIC Flamesof UIC Flames, Northern Iowa Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 75c | 745$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.97 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 76c | 629.6$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.77 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UIC Flames | 25c | 453$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.75 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked UIC Flames | 21c | 450$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 72c | 379.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed UIC Flames | 28c | 376.42$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.02 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 28c | 357.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed UIC Flames | 27c | 327.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.05 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked UIC Flames | 30c | 160$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UIC Flames | 25c | 107.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UIC Flames | 29c | 104$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 66c | 102.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 73c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 73c | 63.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 75c | 61.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 71c | 53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed UIC Flames | 25c | 51.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 50.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 73c | 49.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 48c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UIC Flames | 71c | 44.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 65c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UIC Flames | 26c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames | 27c | 40.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88c…8465backed UIC Flames | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 69c | 25.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 75c | 21.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 75c | 14.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.