Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Northwestern State Demons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7a8cab59cd1f04d86f12674eadf83b78dbf521d0f809bd6854beb6cc6f069a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern State Demonsof Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, Northwestern State Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 73c | 1,572$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northwestern State Demons | 23c | 1,492$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.78 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northwestern State Demons | 11c | 1,406$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.61 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northwestern State Demons | 9c | 359.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.77 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Northwestern State Demons | 39c | 356.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 4c | 283.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Northwestern State Demons | 33c | 277$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Northwestern State Demons | 35c | 276.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern State Demons | 23c | 220.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Northwestern State Demons | 33c | 217.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Northwestern State Demons | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 60c | 156.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern State Demons | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 143$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northwestern State Demons | 15c | 102.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 69c | 68.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northwestern State Demons | 27c | 67.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Northwestern State Demons | 33c | 55.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 40c | 52.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Northwestern State Demons | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 72c | 38.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…64abbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 58c | 35.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…8da0backed Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 35.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…b425backed Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 34.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…639ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 58c | 34.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Northwestern State Demons | 41c | 32.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northwestern State Demons | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 73c | 13.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Northwestern State Demonsthis page
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Northwestern State Demons: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.