TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcdd8…e7d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST3080%24 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$15.21
Hobart International: Anna Bondar vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Jaume Munarbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$7.59
Australian Open Women's: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Jurij Rodionov vs Zachary Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.58
Adelaide International: Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Australian Open Women's: Justina Mikulskyte vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Gasanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+34.4%+$10.52
Australian Open Women's: Lucia Bronzetti vs Mary Stoianabacked Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Australian Open Men's: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$13.01
Australian Open Women's: Astra Sharma vs Carson Branstinebacked Branstine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$7.59
Australian Open Women's: Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37.4%+$11.51
Australian Open Women's: Carole Monnet vs Elena Micicbacked Micic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Australian Open Men's: Billy Harris vs Chris Rodeschbacked Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$7.69
Adelaide International: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+32%+$9.83
Australian Open Men's: Alex Bolt vs Elias Ymerbacked Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Set Handicap: Joint (-1.5) vs Kenin (+1.5)backed Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Henry Bernetbacked Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Adelaide International: Jacob Fearnley vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Adelaide International: Tristan Schoolkate vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Australian Open Men's: Elmer Moeller vs Marc Polmansbacked Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Australian Open Women's: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Kayla Crossbacked Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Adelaide International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Bernard Tomic vs Hugo Dellienbacked Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$7.41
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.87
UCLA Bruins vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25.4%+$7.6
UCF Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.74
George Mason Patriots vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.43
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Northwestern State Demonsbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$27.69
New Orleans Privateers vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30.39
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Coppin State Eaglesbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+30.1%+$8.78
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$14.28
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30.84
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.85
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.87
All 5 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)backed Cambridge United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)backed Bristol City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.27
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.7%+$9.63
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Pachuca vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.